The COUNTRY HILLS

 

The Country Hills real estate market is constantly changing. The Monthly Real Estate Review is written 12 times per year, to provide you with timely information on the current real estate market in our neighborhood.

A new article is available on the first of each month, so drop by for a fresh look at the real estate market whenever you have the chance!

For more information on real estate news, take a look at
INMAN REAL ESTATE NEWS, a professional real estate web site specializing in current events in the real estate industry.

 


WHY PRICES HAVE DECREASED $100,000

As we head through 2010 it is no secret that home prices in Country Hills have gone down along with the rest of the South Bay. While there were many homes selling in the neighborhood in the $975,000 price range a year ago, this year the sales prices have often been $100,000 lower. Although there are several reasons for these price decreases, low afford ability and a shift in confidence levels are a main part of the problem.

Low afford ability is a combination of high monthly mortgage payments (due to high sales prices) and high property taxes (also due to high sales prices). Monthly mortgage payments for new buyers in Country Hills can easily be $4,000 to $5,000 per month. Property taxes can be another $1,000 per month, or more.

Most buyers don't mind high mortgage and tax payments if a home is appreciating in value at $10,000 per month. This was the case in 2002-2005. However, in 2010 buyers are very cautious about having monthly payments that high if housing prices are flat, or going down.

To summarize, as long as interest rates remain favorable it is unlikely that prices will drop significantly. At some point prices may level out, once consumers reach a point where they feel prices have hit bottom. But we have not yet reached that point.


 

THE IMPORTANCE OF HOME INSPECTIONS

The standard Purchase Contract used by most California Realtors has many provisions built into it to protect buyers and sellers. One of the most important provisions is the Home Inspection contingency. This part of the contract is good for both buyers and sellers.

Buyers like the inspection contingency because it gives them the right to have the entire property inspected by a professional inspector who really knows about houses and their potential problems. These inspectors usually spend several hours checking dozens of items on the property, and provide a written report for the buyer to keep and review.

If the report brings to light repair issues that were not noticed when the purchase contract was originally accepted, the buyer has the right to ask the seller to fix these items. If the seller refuses to correct the requested repairs, the buyer has the right to back out of the sale.

Even though the buyer has the right to walk away from a sale if the seller will not correct the requested repair items, most buyers will move forward with the sale. After all, the purchase contract does stipulate that the sale is "AS IS", so repairs presented to the seller are usually performed in the spirit of cooperation. So in most sales you will see a second round of negotiation regarding the repair issues, with both parties providing some give and take.

The inspection contingency is also good for the seller. Most sellers want to know if their sale is on solid ground as soon as possible so they can move on with their next plan. The inspection contingency usually gives the parties a 14 day time frame to resolve any repair issues. After that the sale is on solid ground and all systems are "go"!


 

NEGOTIATING TIPS

Although there are many important aspects of selling a home, the process of negotiating is one area where thousands of dollars can be gained or lost in a very short time. Although most people state that they do not enjoy the negotiations process, the fact that most buyers and sellers end up with a series of counter offers is proof that most people feel that negotiating is worth the effort. When negotiating, a few simple tips can go a long way.

1. Don't act anxious ~ No matter how badly a buyer wants to buy or a seller wants to sell, it's best not to give any hint of this to the other party. Once the other party has wind that it is important for you consummate a sale, they are unlikely to be as flexible with you on the price and terms of the sale.

2. Pace your reductions ~ Every counter offer a buyer or seller sends out has a message between the lines. If you continually counter offer with a price that reflects a $10,000 discount from the previous price, the other party will have no reason to stop the negotiation process. However, if your counter offer price spread gets much smaller each time, this sends a message that you are getting close to your bottom line.

3. Never stop the process ~ In most negotiations that do not end up in a sale, the lack of progress can often be attributed to the fact that one of the parties stopped the negotiating process. If you can't sign the last counter offer that came to the table, do your best to keep the negotiations alive by sending out some type of reasonable counter offer. Deals only die when the talking stops.

When negotiating, it's important to remember the big picture. Getting the property sold at a fair price is usually the main goal for both parties. Grinding the other side for every last dime is usually not worth the risk of blowing the deal. Besides, it's usually nice to meet the other party after the negotiations are completed, and to look them in the eye and wish them good luck. You'll sleep better that way!


 

A NEW WAY TO HOLD TITLE

Effective July 1st, 2001 owners of real property have a new choice in how to hold title to their real estate. Although Community Property has been a common method of holding title for many years now, upon the death of one of the co-owners the title of the property would go by will to descendent's devisee's. This did not meet the needs of many homeowners who preferred that the property be transferred solely to the surviving spouse.

Finally, after years of listening to complaints about this one flaw in the Community Property title holding, the legislature has passed a law allowing a new and improved version of Community Property. This new version, called Community Property With Right of Survivorship, will be the perfect choice for many homeowners. Up until now, any property owner who wanted to include the Right of Survivorship in a title holding had to utilize the Joint Tenancy method.

Joint Tenancy is still a common and preferred method for holding title, but there are other conditions of the Joint Tenancy holding that are less than perfect for many people.

Now, the most common ways to hold title include Community Property, Joint Tenancy, Tenancy in Common, Tenancy in Partnership, title by Trust, and the new kid on the block...Community Property with the Right of Survivorship. For further information on the best way to hold title contact your C.P.A. or Financial Planner.

 


 

10 STEPS TO A BETTER HOME SALE

In a normal real estate market almost any home will sell. But just getting a home sold is usually not enough. Most homeowners want to maximize their profits by selling for top dollar and they would prefer to enjoy a smooth sale. Working with these 10 suggestions will go a long was towards these goals.

1. PICK AN ACTIVE CYCLE TO SELL ~ The real estate markets go through good periods and bad periods, so choosing an "up" market is the first step. If you have this luxury, plan accordingly.

2. PICK AN ACTIVE SEASON TO SELL ~ In most parts of the country Spring and Summer produce the most home selling activity. Putting your home on the market in early Spring to get a jump on the competition is usually a good idea.

3. PICK AN ACTIVE AGENT TO LIST WITH ~ Picking a part time agent to orchestrate the sale of largest asset you own is asking for trouble. There are plenty of good agents to choose from who work full time, and know the best way to represent you in all areas of your sale.

4. PRICE THE PROPERTY CORRECTLY ~ It's human nature to think that your home is better than the other homes that have recently sold. So if you must experiment with price, give yourself a time deadline. Then get serious with your price. This is the number one issue that will attract buyers.

5. MAKE YOUR PROPERTY EASY TO SEE ~ Properties for sale that need an appointment to show or that do not have lock boxes are shown the least, that's just the nature of the business. When you want top dollar you want your property to be shown as often as possible.

6. STAGE THE PROPERTY LIKE A MODEL ~ There's an old saying in real estate...they way you live in a property and the way you show a property for sale are two different things. Making your home squeaky clean, bright, and uncluttered will go a long way towards impressing your potential buyers.

7. LOOK STRONGLY AT EVERY OFFER ~ Some sellers may not get excited about an offer that comes in below the asking price. It's important to remember that all of your efforts to date have been to create that offer, and that providing a reasonable counter offer to all offers increases your chances of getting the property sold.

8. AVOID LONG ESCROWS ~ As a general rule the longer an escrow period the more likely a problem will arise. Interest rates go up and down, employment situations change, and buyer's motivations can fluctuate. Without making the buyer feel pressured, try to keep the escrow on the short side if possible.

9. BE PRO ACTIVE IN ESCROW ~ Sellers have a host of responsibilities once their home has sold. Signing escrow instructions and all escrow related papers, providing disclosure information, obtaining the termite completion, procuring the lender's demand for payoff, and preparing the Grant Deed are just a few of the seller's important responsibilities.

10. LEAVE YOUR HOME IN CLEAN CONDITION FOR THE BUYER ~ Moving from a home usually involves time constraints. Lots to do and little time to do it. But with proper planning you can vacate the house and still have time to clean up and get the property in good shape for the new buyer. A bottle of champagne on the kitchen counter is optional, but a nice touch!

 


 

LOWER INTEREST RATE BENEFITS

Most homeowners understand that declining interest rates are good news for the housing market. Lower rates at the Fed level usually mean lower mortgage rates for consumers, which in turn helps homeowners by providing lower monthly payments on their home loan. But does a drop in interest rates really make a significant difference in monthly housing payments? It helps to compare the numbers for a specific loan amount.

As an example, if a home sells for $500,000 with a $100,000 down payment (20%) the borrowers new loan is $400,000. At the interest rate of 8.25% which was common last year the monthly payment was approximately $3,005 for a fixed rate 30 year loan.

That same $400,000 at today's lower interest rate of 7% would have a monthly payment of approximately $2,661 per month. For many homeowners and buyers that is a significant difference, and the monthly saving can be put to good use in other areas of the homeowner's budget.

The obvious drawback of lower interest rates is the lower returns for people who have money invested in interest rate sensitive instruments. Savings accounts and various money market accounts experience the same interest rate declines as the mortgage market, thereby providing less income.

However since most homeowners have a greater interest in lower mortgage payments than in maximizing the yields on their savings accounts, the vast majority of homeowners welcome the news of declining interest rates.

 


 

COUNTRY HILLS REVIEW ~ PREDICTIONS

Country Hills has completed a record low year for real estate sales in the year 2009. Only 4 sales took place in the neighborhood, one of the lowest volume years since home sales began in 1975. Prices were also down.

Sales for 2010 are expected to be soft again. Despite signs that the U.S. economy is leveling off, the southern California economy is expected to remain soft. This economy, combined with lowering interest rates and a low number of homes for sale, should help provide us with a slower year of sales volume.

Prices during the coming years will probably not increase at the same percentage as the early 2000's. We had experienced several years of 10% appreciation, and future price appreciation is more likely to coincide with the national inflation rate of approximately 3% to 4%. This is a healthy rate of appreciation that will allow for additional price increases in the years ahead.

 


 

ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN AND REAL ESTATE PRICES

Talks of an economic slowdown in the U.S. have become more common in the media over the last few years, and there are some who think an ongoing recession is possible. A recession, defined as 2 continuous quarters of negative economic growth, has not affected all parts of the country equally.

But if we learned anything from the last recession back in the early 1990's, it was diversification. And indeed our state's economy, which before was heavily dependent on aerospace and defense, is now sitting on a much broader base of industries.

How will a slowing economy affect California housing prices? Certainly Silicon Valley will be hit the hardest, if for no other reason than their lack of diversification. Prices in the San Jose area have already dropped over 10% and chances are good that they have not hit bottom yet.

Southern California housing prices, on the other hand, are looking flat for the next 12 to 18 months. The California Association of Realtors predicts that housing prices in southern California will be flat, with inflation around 2.5% for the year 2010.

It looks like the days of 10% appreciation for houses are behind us for a while, which is not necessarily a bad thing. When prices shot up at double-digit rates in the late 1980's many home buyers were forced out of the market and prices eventually dropped. So a sustainable rate of appreciation of 3% to 5% might be a healthy way to enter the new millennium.

 


 

REAL ESTATE APPRECIATION CYCLES

Over the last 100 years real estate has proven to be a good investment in southern California. At the basic level real estate prices have maintained a level of appreciation greater than the national inflation rate. However, because of the spectacular growth of real estate equities in our area, South Bay property owners usually expect a level of appreciation greater than the inflation rate. And indeed, over the last 25 years, we have had several periods where real estate prices have increased at a very high rate...as much as 20% to 25% per year.

Obviously these extremely high rates of appreciation are unsustainable, and are generally unhealthy for the real estate market over the long haul. When prices grow too quickly many buyers are priced out of the market, and soon the basic laws of supply and demand kick in to bring prices back to normal.

One of the key elements to successful real estate investing is to be able to recognize the various cycles that the market moves through. As an example, during the late 1980's we were experiencing very high levels of appreciation. Then during the early 1990's we experienced several years of no appreciation and then depreciation. The cycle started all over again in 1995 when the South Bay real estate market bottomed out, and prices gradually started increasing again. As we enter the year 2008 we have had 2 flat or declining years of appreciation, with no end in sight.

How will we fare over the next few years? The local economy is a big factor in our real estate market, and at this time most economic signals are still strong. It looks very likely that we will continue to experience an appreciating real estate market for at least the next 18 months, hopefully longer. Looks like a good time to buy!

 


 

CHANGING THE LEGAL OWNER ON A TITLE

Sometimes the owners of a piece of real estate decide to make a change to the title of a property. Some of the common reasons include divorce (taking a spouse off title), estate planning (putting a child on title) and there are many other good reasons to change title on a deed. Although the idea of changing the names on the title might be well founded, the technique in making that change is critical if the outcome is meant to be successful and final.

Many people wanting to make a change on the title to a property simply draw up and execute a Quit Claim Deed or a new Grand Deed. Once this instrument is recorded it does indeed change the title to the property. However if this is done without the use of title insurance there could be trouble down the road. Even though the recording of a deed does provide public record of the transfer, if that transfer was done without providing a policy of title insurance, the loose ends will need to be addressed at a later date. If the new people on title decide to sell the property in the future, most title companies will not insure the new transfer to a buyer without some additional paperwork. This paperwork usually involves going back to the party who was transferred on or off of the title and getting them to sign and notarize an affidavit, confirming that they were the parties involved in the Quit Claim or Grant Deed transfer. If that person is no longer available (moved, incapacitated or dead) this could very likely cause a problem with the transfer of title to the new buyer.

The solution is simple. Whenever the title to a property is changed it is important to involve a title insurance company and an escrow company. The title insurance company will charge a standard fee for researching the title based on the value of the property, and the escrow company will charge a basic fee for drawing up the documents and arranging for the recording. In most cases the total cost will be under $2,000. Once this new insured deed has been recorded, the currently title holders will not have a problem selling the property to a new person.

It is important to note that taking someone off title or placing someone on title does not change the status of the names on the loan(s) against the property.

 


 

PRE-QUALIFIED VERSUS PRE-APPROVED

In a good market or a bad market, most sellers want to know if a potential buyer has the ability to obtain financing as soon as possible. The qualifying element of the buyer in a home purchase is so important that it is addressed several times in the standard C.A.R. Residential Purchase Contract.

Most buyers understand the importance of being able to obtain a loan, and many take the time to set the wheels in motion before making an offer on a property. Although more buyers each year are sitting down with a lender before they purchase a home, most of these efforts are geared towards obtaining a letter of 'pre-qualification' from the lender. This is a good step in the right direction, but going the extra mile to become 'pre-approved' can place the buyer in an even stronger negotiating position with a seller.

Most sellers know that a pre-qualified buyer has taken some steps to show their ability to obtain financing, but the level of commitment from the lender providing the "pre-qual" letter is very low. Pre-qualification shows that a lender has reviewed the buyers basic qualifying information such as credit, income and debt ratios, and the source of the down payment, but no loan commitment is involved. However, a buyer who has obtained a 'pre-approval' has actually taken the time to have his or her loan package fully processed, and is generally ready to close an escrow in a relatively short amount of time with few worries. Once pre-approved most lender will only need copies of the escrow instructions and an appraisal before they are ready to draw up the buyer's loan documents and close the escrow.

The real estate industry has come a long way from the days when a seller would just cross his fingers and hope that the buyer could obtain a loan. Most purchase offers presented buy buyers today are now accompanied by a pre-qualification letter. And becoming 'pre-approved' is gaining acceptance in most areas of the U.S. including the South Bay. In some cases being pre-qualified or pre-approved can make the difference of either getting or loosing the desired property.

 


 

SELLING VACANT HOUSES

I am often asked if it is better to market a property occupied or vacant. Houses sell both ways, but there are advantages and disadvantages each way.

If an occupied home is very well decorated and uncluttered then showing it furnished to a prospective buyer can help the buyer 'see' how the home can look furnished. However, showing an occupied home with dated furniture and with excessive personal belongings tends to distract a buyer and work against the goal of getting a buyer emotionally excited about the home. The same home, if vacant and squeaky clean, can allow the buyer to picture the home with his or her own personal belongings.

The other issue regarding occupied versus unoccupied houses is the issue of access. One of the main goals of a good listing agent is to allow as many prospective buyers into the house as possible. However occupied homes generally require some degree of advanced communication with the owner before showing. This can thin out some of the showing activity. Vacant houses, on the other hand, are usually able to be shown anytime, even at the last minute, with no concerns about calling first or making an appointment. This usually allows for a larger number of showings to potential buyers.

To summarize, if an occupied home shows like a model and can be easily accessed then there is no harm in selling the property in this manner. If the home is much less than perfectly decorated or squeaky clean, or is difficult for agent and buyers to access then selling it vacant might help get a better price.

 


 

PRICE - PRICE - PRICE

Most people have heard the one liner that the most important element in real estate is "location, location, location". And that is certainly an important element when buying a home. But when it comes time to sell a property, that phrase takes a back seat to an equally important element ..."price, price, price".

Even homes located in the best locations will not sell if they are over-priced. And, unfortunately, over-pricing a home for sale is human nature. Almost everyone thinks their home is worth more than the open market will actually bare. The key element in pricing a home in Country Hills is to price it no more than 3% to 4% higher than the comparable sales value. Sellers who price their home any higher than that risk a loss of traffic from good buyers who would have paid fair market value if it was priced right.

Statistics show that a home placed on the market receives the vast majority of traffic from agents and potential buyers during the first 30 days. During the second month of marketing the number of interested parties drops off considerably, and that initial pool of buyers has now moved on to the next set of new listings.

In a good real estate market most homes in Country Hills will sell within 90 days with proper marketing. If a home has not sold after 30 to 60 days it might be time to look at the 3 most important element of real estate..."price, price, price"!

 


 

PURCHASE CONTRACT AND ARBITRATION

The California Association of Realtor's Residential Purchase Contract has offered an Arbitration clause for several years now. Buyers and sellers have the option of including Arbitration in a sale by initialling this paragraph in the purchase contract, or to dissolute it from the sale by leaving it blank. There are valid concerns on both sides of this very important issue.

The basic idea behind the Arbitration clause in a purchase contract is to help minimize the cost and time involved in resolving any dispute that might arise between a buyer and a seller during the course of a home sale. Although most people like the idea of resolving a dispute in a fast and inexpensive fashion, there are those who feel that agreeing to "binding" arbitration up front can limit the legal rights that one might need later on.

Not initialing the Arbitration clause in the original purchase contract (and subsequent escrow instructions) does not mean that a buyer and seller cannot agree to Arbitration at a later date if a dispute arises. And indeed most buyers and sellers would agree that Arbitration would probably be a good first step (after an initial Mediation process) towards resolving a dispute. A problem can arise when a buyer and seller cannot agree on the Arbitration clause up front, during the initial stages of contract negotiations. At this early stage neither party fully understands to what degree they may require legal council above and beyond Arbitration. It is indeed possible that an arbitrator could rule in favor of Party "A" when party "B" might have prevailed if the dispute went to court. Because of the shorter time frame on Arbitration the legal issues of pre-trial discovery, court evidence rules, existing case law, jury trial and appeal are not always available as in a court case.

To summarize, the concept of Arbitration is generally accepted as a good first step to resolve a purchase contract dispute. But agreeing to it in advance may not allow for additional recourse at a later date.

 


THE VALUE OF A VIEW

Approximately 1/3 of the homes in Country Hills are located on 'view' lots. Some of these view lots are located in the lower section of the neighborhood and offer open vistas of the city and evening lights, and some of these view lots are located above Rolling Hills Road and offer unobstructed panoramas from Malibu to Long Beach.

When Watt Industries offered the Country Hills homes for sale as a brand new development in 1975, homes on view lots were more expensive than homes on non-view lots. Today, 25 years later, view lots still receive a premium.

How much more is a view lot worth? It depends. A home with a small view over rooftops with some city view and evening lights might be worth an extra $10,000. A home on one of the higher streets with a panoramic view might be worth an extra $25,000 or more.

Some buyers are specifically looking for homes with a view, while other buyers refuse to pay for a view and would prefer getting more home for their dollar. Every buyer is different and brings to the table a unique set of priorities.

A common ground available in Country Hills is a 'partial view'. This might be a view from just a few rooms in a home or maybe from some of the upstairs bedrooms. These partial views are very enjoyable to the owners but can be difficult to place a value on. These partial views can often make the difference as to whether or not a buyer will make an offer on a property for sale.

To summarize, some buyers will pay more for a home with some type of view, while others would prefer spending the extra money on a new kitchen or more square footage!


REAL ESTATE COMMISSIONS

As required by law, real estate commissions are negotiable. Even though a Broker and a seller can agree to any commission rate, competition in the market has established a range of commissions which are common in Country Hills.

Most commissions for homes in the neighborhood run between 5% and 6% of the sales price. This total commission is usually split between the listing Broker (the office representing the seller) and the selling Broker (the office representing the buyer). The commission is usually split again between the Broker and the agent in each office.

Since one of the purposes of a real estate commission is to provide an incentive to show a property for sale, it is important for the commission to be competitive with the commissions of other properties for sale. If most of the homes in a neighborhood are offering a 2.5% commission to a selling agent, another home offering 2% may or may not receive the same level of attention.

During slow real estate markets some sellers have been successful offering a commission higher than the competition to encourage a higher level of activity.

As with many real estate issues, choosing a commission is more involved than it may initially appear. Since the vast majority of real estate sales in Country Hills involves more than one agent, a well thought out commission agreement is an important part of any marketing and compensation plan.

 


SELL BEFORE BUYING

When a family decides to make a move to another house, the transition usually involves the selling of an existing residence. This often raises the issue of whether to sell the existing home first and then buy the replacement home, or to buy the replacement home and then sell the previous residence. Although there are always exceptions, the rule of thumb in most situations is to sell first and then buy. This method does put a bit of pressure on a home seller, but it is usually the most practical approach.

One of the reasons that selling first is the best choice is financial. Most people need to receive the equity in their residence to use as a down payment for the new home. Without having another source of funds available for a down payment, getting the existing residence sold at a specific price is an important step in the home buying process.

Another issue is qualifying for a new home loan. Even if a buyer has the cash available for the down payment on a new home, most lenders will look at the existing unsold home as a financial liability. Unless the home can be rented for 125% of the existing carrying costs, this obligation will put a dent in the ability to qualify for the new home.

Yet another good reason to sell before buying is that a home seller is in a much stronger position to negotiate a good price on the home they are trying to buy when their own home is in escrow and they are able to close quickly. Without the sale of the existing property the buyer is forced to make a 'contingent' offer on the new home. And since contingent offers are usually given tepid consideration in a strong real estate market, this is a very weak position to be in when trying to obtain a good price on the new home.

When considering making a move, an intelligent approach is to get all of the ducks lined up prior to placing the existing residence on the market. Learning about neighborhoods and prices for the new home, and getting pre qualified or pre approved for the new home loan are important steps at this early stage. Then, once the existing home sells and goes into escrow, the process of buying the next home can move forward quickly and efficiently.

 


 

THE VALUE OF OPEN HOUSES

The idea of holding an "open house" to expose a property for sale has been around for a long time. Because they have been a part of the real estate world for so long, some people are under the impression that open houses are an important element in the marketing of a home for sale. Although there may be some value to open houses today, they are not nearly as important now as they were years ago.

In the past, before the implementation of computerized Multiple Listings Systems and the Internet, open houses were an effective tool to get the word out on a home for sale. Open houses helped expose properties to agents and potential buyers that may not have known about the listing any other way.

Today, significant advances in the M.L.S. and the Internet allow agents and potential buyers to find out all of the details about homes for sale almost as soon as they come on the market. And with the advent of virtual tours, buyers can now see the inside of a home for sale from the comfort of their own home. Consequently the value of open houses has diminished significantly over the last few years.

If this is the case, then why do we still see open houses in Country Hills? There are several reasons. First, out of habit, some agents and sellers still feel that open houses are an important element in the marketing of a home. Second, many agents enjoy holding open houses as a tool for meeting new potential clients. And third, yes it does occasionally still happen, some properties actually sell from the exposure of an open house. The percentage is very small, and it is very likely that the buyer who found a home via an open house would have found it a few days or weeks later on the M.L.S. or the Internet, but it still occasionally happens.

The important thing to remember is that there are many tools a Realtor can use to expose a property for sale, and the use of an open house is an increasingly smaller piece of that exposure pie.

 


REAL ESTATE AND WALL STREET

The stock market has experienced impressive gains over the last several years, and there is no end in sight. This strong stock market has helped the nation's real estate market in two significant ways.

Most importantly the solid growth in the Dow has provided a sense of confidence in the American people. People feel better about buying real estate if the general trend in the economy is positive. Another advantage is the increased equities garnered by many stockholders. Many investors have used a portion of these gains to help buy real estate. This trend is likely to continue throughout 2000, but what would happen to real estate if the stock market experienced a significant decrease in 2000?

The same two factors that have helped real estate during the past several years could work against us in a declining stock market. Decreases in the stock market could shake buyer's confidence levels, causing some buyers to wait until a clearer picture was available. Secondly, any loss in stock equities could diminish a buyer's financial ability to buy real estate.

Like the last stock market drop, California would not be as affected as New York. However, since a higher percentage of Californians now own stock compared to 10 years ago, the impact could be significant.

All this is not meant to suggest that we are indeed heading into a declining stock market. But it sure helps to maintain a broader perspective on the issue, as stock market effects are not limited to just Wall Street.


 

THE VALUE OF HOME IMPROVEMENTS

Improving a home is a common way to increase the enjoyment of a property, and to increase it's value. However, investing too much money in a home improvement can be counter-productive. An improvement that costs $50,000 to build is only a good investment if the homeowner can recapture a large percentage of that cost at the time of sale. Unfortunately, most home improvements do not create a dollar-for-dollar increase in a property's value. With that fact in mind, it's a good idea to spend money on home improvements that create as much value as possible for each dollar spent.

A survey of home improvement 'costs versus value' was recently published in REALTOR MAGAZINE. The percentage that each home improvement dollar recouped in added home value was very interesting.

* BATHROOM ADDITION - 87%
* FAMILY ROOM ADDITION - 80%
* SECOND STORY ADDITION - 80%
* MASTER SUITE ADDITION - 75%
* MAJOR KITCHEN REMODEL - 65%
* MINOR KITCHEN REMODEL - 58%
* BATHROOM REMODEL - 53%
* DECK ADDITION - 50%
* HOME OFFICE - 43%
* REPLACING WINDOWS - 17%

These survey figures were for the Los Angeles area, and there were geographic differences in cost/value throughout the United States. This information does not take into consideration the most important value of a home improvement - the actual use and enjoyment of the improvement by the homeowner. Still, it is a good idea to keep costs in check if adding value to the property is part of the reason for the remodel.


The Country Hills real estate market was very busy in 1998, and 1999 promises to be another great year. The foreclosure sales and anxious sellers of just a few years ago were replaced last year by multiple offers and appreciating prices. Homeowner equity lost during the recession has been largely regained and prospects look good for continued price increases in 1999.

Prices this year should fare well, although it would be unrealistic to expect another year of 10% price appreciation. However, with the local and national economy strong, prices will probably increase at a level equal to or slightly greater than the national inflation rate. Price increases of approximately 5% would be good news for both buyers and sellers.

Interest rates have been a large contributor to the rebounding real estate market and those in the know do not expect any big changes in rates throughout 1999. Home loan rates ranging from 7% to 8% should be common throughout the year. The sources of money for home mortgages has become quite diverse over the last few years, so any fluctuation in rates will probably be minor.

Homes may take a little longer to sell in 1999, but that is not expected to be a problem. Properties that sold in weeks, days, or even hours in 1998 could take a month or two to end up in escrow this year. This pace is much more comfortable for all parties concerned and is a welcome relief from the "frenzied" market we experienced during the summer of last year.

Traditionally, many home buyers and sellers look at the spring and summer seasons to make a move and that was certainly the case last year. Once summer is gone the real estate market tends to lose some of it's steam and pressure on prices can ease. This seasonal market pace is likely to take place again this year.

All in all, 1999 is shaping up to be another excellent year for real estate throughout California and in Country Hills. As long as the U.S. and California economies maintain their strength and interest rates stay low, we should experience another great year in the housing industry.

If you have any real estate questions, please feel free to contact me. It would be a pleasure to be of service to you!